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Liquidity Sweep (ICT) 2026: What It Is, How to Trade It and Its Real Win Rate

In this Article:

Liquidity sweep, 2026

46.9%

On 10 years of NQ futures, a swept previous day high led to a lower close the next day 46.9% of the time. Any day: 43.6%.

What a liquidity sweep is, how to tell it from a breakout, how ICT traders trade it, and what the data really say about its win rate.

A liquidity sweep is a move that pushes price just beyond an obvious high or low, where stop orders sit, then closes back inside the level. The stops are filled, the breakout fails, and the swept level becomes the reference for a reversal: bearish after a sweep of buy-side liquidity, bullish after a sweep of sell-side liquidity.

In short

  • The pattern: a wick through a high or a low, then a candle close back on the original side of the level.
  • Buy-side liquidity sits above highs, sell-side liquidity below lows. A sweep takes one of them.
  • Sweep vs breakout: the close decides. A breakout closes beyond the level, a sweep closes back inside.
  • Win rate: the 65 to 75% figures quoted online rarely come with a sample. Our own count on NQ is below.
  • The trade: wait for the sweep, a shift in structure, an entry from the sweep area, the stop beyond the wick.
  • At Phidias: Express to Live has a static drawdown and no daily loss limit, and news trading is authorized on all accounts.
Liquidity sweep: price runs the stops above a high, then closes back below the level
A liquidity sweep: the stops beyond the level are taken, then price closes back inside.

What Is a Liquidity Sweep?

Every obvious high and low on a chart has orders resting just beyond it. Above a high, there are the stop losses of traders who are short, and the buy stops of traders waiting to buy a breakout. Below a low, the mirror image. That pool of orders is what traders call liquidity.

A liquidity sweep is the moment price reaches into that pool. It trades through the level, fills the stops, and then fails to hold beyond it. The candle closes back inside, and the traders who bought the breakout are now trapped.

The definition used by the open-source LuxAlgo Liquidity Sweeps indicator is a good working rule: the tool marks the bar where price runs a prior level, takes the stops beyond it and quickly comes back. It recognizes two forms, described below: the wick through a level, and the close through a level followed by a retest that holds.

Why sweeps happen

A large order needs the other side of the trade to be filled. A trader who wants to sell a big position needs buyers, and the cluster of buy stops above a high is exactly that. Whether you see it as institutions hunting stops, as ICT teaches, or simply as many breakout orders failing at once, the chart shows the same thing: a quick run beyond the level and a fast return.

Not every touch of a high is a sweep. Price trades through old highs every day and keeps going. What makes a sweep is the failure: the close back inside the level, and the lack of follow-through after it.

The vocabulary in one table

Term Meaning
Liquidity Resting orders, mostly stops, beyond a visible high or low
Buy-side liquidity (BSL) Orders above a high: shorts’ stop losses and breakout buy stops
Sell-side liquidity (SSL) Orders below a low: longs’ stop losses and breakout sell stops
Sweep Price runs through the level, fills those orders, then closes back inside
Sweep area The zone between the swept level and the tip of the sweeping wick
PDH / PDL Previous day high and previous day low, among the most watched liquidity levels

ICT Liquidity Sweep: Buy-Side vs Sell-Side

ICT (Inner Circle Trader), the teaching of Michael J. Huddleston, splits liquidity into two pools. The direction you expect after a sweep depends entirely on which one was taken.

Buy-side liquidity sweep Sell-side liquidity sweep
Where Above a high Below a low
Orders taken Short sellers’ stops, breakout buy stops Buyers’ stops, breakout sell stops
What you see A wick above the high, a close back below it A wick below the low, a close back above it
Expected bias Bearish Bullish
Stop for the trade Above the tip of the wick Below the tip of the wick
Typical target The sell-side liquidity below The buy-side liquidity above

Bullish liquidity sweep

A bullish liquidity sweep takes the sell-side liquidity under a low, such as the previous day low or the low of the Asian range, and closes back above it. The buyers’ stops have been filled; if the sellers cannot push further, price often rotates back up toward the highs.

Bearish liquidity sweep

A bearish liquidity sweep takes the buy-side liquidity above a high and closes back below it. On index futures, this is a common morning pattern: the New York open runs the overnight high, traps the breakout buyers, and reverses.

Where liquidity pools form

  • Previous day high and low (PDH, PDL): watched by many intraday traders.
  • Equal highs and equal lows: two or three touches at the same price leave a thick cluster of stops.
  • The Asian range: its high and low are often taken during the London or New York open. Our kill zones guide gives the hours.
  • Previous week high and low: swept less often.
  • Swing highs and lows on the 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

How to Identify a Liquidity Sweep

Three checks separate a sweep from noise: a level that matters, a move through it, and a close back inside. Here are the two forms that the LuxAlgo indicator detects, and that you can spot by eye.

Wick sweep Breakout and retest
What happens A wick pierces the level, the same candle closes back inside Price closes beyond the level, then a later candle wicks back through it
How LuxAlgo draws it Dotted line Dashed line
Read A pure stop raid, reversal expected The level broke and held on the retest, the sweep area takes the breakout’s direction
Speed One candle Several candles

In this guide, a sweep means the first form: the wick through the level and the close back inside, read as a reversal. The second form is closer to a breakout retest, and it is traded in the breakout’s direction.

Step by step

  1. Mark the levels before the session: previous day high and low, Asian range, equal highs or lows, 4-hour swings.
  2. Wait for price to trade through one of them. No anticipation: the level has to be taken.
  3. Check the close. On your entry timeframe, the candle must close back on the original side of the level.
  4. Look for a shift in structure: after a bearish sweep, a break of the last higher low. Our BOS vs CHoCH guide explains how to read it.
  5. Mark the sweep area between the level and the tip of the wick. That is where the stop goes, beyond the wick.

The swing setting matters

What counts as a high depends on how many candles you look at. The LuxAlgo indicator finds its levels with a pivot of 5 candles on each side by default, and notes that a larger setting picks longer term levels. In practice: a 2 candle swing on the 1 minute chart gets swept all day long and means little. A daily high is swept less often, and carries more orders.

Liquidity Sweep vs Liquidity Grab vs Breakout

The three terms describe the same first move, a trade through a level. What happens next is what differs.

Liquidity grab Liquidity sweep Breakout
Move through the level Fast, a single wick One wick or a run over several levels Clean, with momentum
Close Back inside at once Back inside Beyond the level
Follow-through None None, then reversal Continuation
What to trade Reversal Reversal Continuation or retest

Many traders use grab and sweep as synonyms, and that is fine. The useful split is the one with the breakout: if the candle body closes beyond the level and the next candles hold there, it is a breakout, not the reversal sweep this guide is about, whatever the wick looked like. LuxAlgo does count the later retest of such a level as its second, breakout-side form.

A stop hunt is the same idea seen from the other side: the trader whose stop was taken calls it a stop hunt, the trader who trades the reversal calls it a sweep. The smart money concepts guide covers the wider framework.

Liquidity Sweep Win Rate: What 10 Years of NQ Data Say

Search for a liquidity sweep win rate and you will find 65% or 70%, rarely with a sample you can check. So we counted. We took 2,515 daily sessions of NQ futures (Nasdaq 100, continuous contract from Yahoo Finance, October 31, 2016 to October 29, 2026) and flagged every day that swept the previous day’s high or low and closed back inside.

Event Cases Next day closes against the day’s move Any day
Previous day high swept, close back below 631 46.9% lower close 43.6% lower close
Previous day low swept, close back above 584 55.3% higher close 56.4% higher close
Close above the previous day high (breakout) 804 43.3% lower close 43.6% lower close
Close below the previous day low (breakout) 498 59.8% higher close 56.4% higher close

Read plainly: on the daily chart, a sweep alone barely predicts tomorrow’s direction. A swept high gave a lower close 46.9% of the time, 3.3 percentage points above any day: too small to call an edge on 631 cases. A swept low did slightly worse than any day. And a clean close below the previous day’s low was followed by a higher close more often (59.8%) than a swept low: on the daily chart, neither pattern beat the average day by much.

What really predicted the next day: the close

Event Next day trades beyond the other end of the sweep candle Any day
Previous day high swept 58.2% trade below the sweep day’s low 43.1%
Previous day low swept 62.5% trade above the sweep day’s high 57.1%

At first sight, a swept high looks useful: the next session took out the low of the sweep candle 58.2% of the time, against 43.1% for any day. But sweep candles tend to close in the lower part of their range, and any day that closes low sees its low taken more often, sweep or not. Split by where the candle closed, the sweep adds little:

Where the day closed in its range Any day: next day takes its low Swept high: next day takes its low
Bottom quarter 78.8% 76.7%
Second quarter 55.7% 61.4%
Third quarter 38.8% 39.2%
Top quarter 18.3% 26.4%

The practical lesson: read the close, not just the wick. A sweep candle that takes a high and closes near its low is the setup worth watching. A sweep that closes in the middle of its range tells you little more than any other day.

What this count is not: a backtest. There are no fees, no stops, no entries, and the daily chart is not where most sweep traders enter. It is a frequency count on one market, on one timeframe, with a continuous contract that is not adjusted for rollovers. Its only goal is to replace a number nobody can check with one you can. The method is in the sources at the bottom of the page.

What it means for your trading

  • A sweep is a context, not a signal. On its own, it barely beats an average day on direction.
  • The edge comes from what you add: the shift in structure, the entry level, the stop beyond the wick, and a realistic target such as the other end of the range.
  • Your win rate depends on your exit. A tight target is hit more often than a far one. Any win rate quoted without its risk to reward is meaningless.
  • Count your own. Twenty sweeps logged on your market and your timeframe tell you more than any figure online, ours included.

Trade your sweeps on Express to Live

Liquidity Sweep Trading Strategy, Step by Step

This is the ICT liquidity sweep strategy in its simplest form. It uses one level, one confirmation and one stop rule, which makes it easy to log and to judge.

Step Bearish example (buy-side swept) Bullish example (sell-side swept)
1. Level Previous day high or Asian high Previous day low or Asian low
2. Sweep Price trades above, the candle closes back below Price trades below, the candle closes back above
3. Confirmation A break of the last higher low on the 5 or 15 minute chart A break of the last lower high on the 5 or 15 minute chart
4. Entry On a pullback into the fair value gap or the order block left by the drop On a pullback into the gap or order block left by the rally
5. Stop Above the tip of the sweeping wick Below the tip of the sweeping wick
6. Target The sweep day’s low, then the sell-side liquidity below The sweep day’s high, then the buy-side liquidity above

Timing: when sweeps show up

Intraday sweeps tend to cluster around session opens, when volume arrives. On NQ and ES, the New York open (8:30 to 11:30 a.m. New York time in the index version of the kill zone) often runs the overnight high or low first. The London open does the same with the Asian range.

4-hour liquidity sweep

A 4-hour sweep uses a 4-hour swing as the level, and the lower timeframes for the entry. It produces fewer trades, but each level holds more orders than a 5 minute swing. A common pairing: 4-hour level, 15 minute confirmation, 5 minute entry. Keep the pairing fixed for at least twenty trades before you judge it.

Order flow as a filter

A sweep that is absorbed shows it in the volume. Traders who use footprint charts look for heavy volume at the tip of the wick with no follow-through, a sign that the orders beyond the level were met by the other side. Our order flow trading guide explains how to read it.

Trading Liquidity Sweeps at a Prop Firm in 2026

Sweep trading fits a funded account for one reason: the stop is defined before you enter. It sits beyond the tip of the wick, so you know the dollar risk of every trade and can size it against your drawdown.

  1. Size from the stop: measure the distance to the tip of the wick, then pick the number of contracts so that one loss stays a small part of your drawdown.
  2. Limit the attempts: two failed sweeps on the same level in one session usually mean it is a breakout, not a sweep.
  3. Trade one window: sweeps cluster around the opens. One kill zone a day is enough.
  4. Log every sweep, taken or not. Your own win rate is the only one that matters.

Why Express to Live suits sweep traders

A sweep trader waits, takes a few trades, and sometimes none. Express to Live is built for that: a static drawdown that never trails, no daily loss limit, no consistency rule and no minimum trading days. A stopped sweep does not end your day, and one good session can be enough to pass. Your first payout converts the account to LIVE.

Payout speed is the other half: 90% of our payouts are processed in under 30 minutes, always within 24-hours, and our record from evaluation purchase to payout received is 6 hours 18 minutes.

One honest limit: Express to Live and Fundamental positions must be closed before the end of the trading day, so a daily or 4-hour sweep cannot be held overnight on those accounts. Only Premium allows overnight positions. Every rule is on our rules page.

Express to Live Fundamental Premium
Drawdown Static, never trails End-of-day trailing End-of-day trailing
Daily loss limit None None None
Consistency rule None 30% on the CASH account 30% on the CASH account
Minimum days to pass None 3 1
News trading Authorized Authorized Authorized
Overnight positions No No, close by 9:59 p.m. UTC Allowed

See Express to Live

Why Liquidity Sweeps Fail: Common Mistakes

Mistake What happens Fix
Entering on the wick Price keeps going: it was a breakout Wait for the candle close back inside the level
Every small swing is a level Dozens of fake sweeps a day Use the previous day, the Asian range, 4-hour swings
No confirmation You fade a trend that never turns Wait for a break of structure on your entry timeframe
Stop inside the wick You are stopped by the retest Place the stop beyond the tip of the wick
Far targets only Winners turn into losers First target: the other end of the sweep candle
Trusting a quoted win rate Oversized risk on a so-called sure setup Log your own sample of twenty trades

New to the method? Start with ICT for beginners, then the complete ICT trading guide.

Test: which sweep setup fits you?

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Liquidity Sweep: Frequently Asked Questions

What is a liquidity sweep?

A liquidity sweep is a move that pushes price just beyond an obvious high or low, where stop orders sit, and then brings it back inside the level. The stops get filled, the move fails, and the swept level often becomes the reference for a reversal trade.

What is a liquidity sweep in ICT?

In ICT (Inner Circle Trader) teaching, a sweep is when price runs buy-side liquidity above a high or sell-side liquidity below a low, then reverses. ICT traders read it as the market collecting orders before the real move, and look for a market structure shift and a fair value gap to enter.

Is a liquidity sweep bullish or bearish?

It depends on which side is swept. A sweep of sell-side liquidity, below a low, is read as bullish. A sweep of buy-side liquidity, above a high, is read as bearish. The sweep only gives a bias: the confirmation comes from the candles that follow.

What is the win rate of a liquidity sweep strategy?

No honest single number exists, because the result depends on the level, the timeframe and the exit. On 10 years of daily NQ futures data, a swept previous day high led to a lower close the next day 46.9% of the time, against 43.6% for any day. The close mattered more: days that closed near their low saw that low taken the next day about as often with or without a sweep.

What is the difference between a liquidity sweep and a liquidity grab?

Many traders use the two words for the same thing. When they are separated, a grab is a quick wick through a level that closes back at once, and a sweep can be a slower run that clears a whole cluster of highs or lows. Both end the same way: price comes back inside the level.

What is the difference between a liquidity sweep and a breakout?

A breakout closes beyond the level and keeps going. A sweep pierces the level and closes back inside it. The close is the test: on a sweep, the candle body ends on the original side of the level.

What timeframe is best for liquidity sweeps?

Most traders mark the levels on a higher timeframe, such as the previous day, the 4-hour chart or the Asian range, and look for the sweep and the entry on the 5 or 15 minute chart. A 4-hour or daily level carries more stops than a 1 minute swing.

Can you trade liquidity sweeps at a prop firm?

Yes. A sweep gives a clear stop, beyond the tip of the sweeping wick, which suits a drawdown limit. At Phidias, Express to Live has a static drawdown, no daily loss limit, no minimum trading days and allows news trading, and your first payout converts the account to LIVE.

Read it yourself

Method of our count: a sweep of the previous day high is a session whose high is above the previous high and whose close is below it (mirror rule for the low). 2,515 sessions, October 31, 2016 to October 29, 2026, continuous NQ=F contract, no fees, no stops. 126 sessions swept both sides and count in both rows.

The verdict

“A liquidity sweep tells you where the trapped traders are, not where price will close tomorrow. Treat it as a level and a stop, add your own confirmation, and judge it on your own log. That is a setup you can trade on a funded account.”

William G., CMO at Phidias Propfirm

William G., CMO at Phidias Propfirm, works on futures prop trading rules and payouts every day. Last reviewed 2026.

Liquidity sweep definitions follow the ICT convention and the LuxAlgo indicator. NQ data as of October 2026. Past frequencies do not predict future results. Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss.

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